Features

Features

Guinea: Doumbouya tightens iron fist

President Doumbouya, widely believed to be in poor health, rarely appears in public.President Doumbouya, widely believed to be in poor health, rarely appears in public.

Two months prior to the local and legislative elections in late May, the Guinean government dissolved all but the smallest opposition parties. This move represents a step towards authoritarian consolidation that, paradoxically, reveals the very insecurity the regime strives to hide. It also contradicts any optimistic interpretation of Mamadi Doumbouya’s recent attempt to gain legitimacy …

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Senegal: Dangerous power play 

Senegalese President Bassirou Diomaye Faye, right, and Ousmane Sonko, elected National Assembly Speaker after Faye ousted him as prime minister. One of the reasons for their split has been how to address the country’s debt crisis. Former President Macky Sall’s administration hid US$13 billion in debt, resulting in a debt-to-GDP ratio of 132%. Faye has been negotiating for months for an International Monetary Fund program, but Sonko has opposed any such restructuring, saying it would violate the country’s sovereignty.

The political alliance between Senegal’s President Bassirou Diomaye Faye and Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko collapsed in late May, leading to Faye dismissing Sonko as prime minister and members of the National Assembly from the PASTEF party electing Sonko as Speaker. The split had been anticipated, due to the growing tensions between them for nearly a …

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Ethiopia, Eritrea alliance falls apart

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, left, meets with Eritrea President Isaias Afwerki. The two countries have a complex history marked by frequent conflict, and with their recent alliance against the Tigray rebels fractured into threats and accusations, renewed fighting could spill over to the entire Horn of Africa region.

The longstanding tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea have resurfaced recently, following the breakdown of their alliance against rebels in Ethiopia’s Tigray region during the 2020-22 civil war. A significant concern is Ethiopia’s desire for access to the sea through the Eritrean port of Assab. Jane Cybulski reports. Tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea have been ratcheting …

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Guinea: Democratic dictatorship

Gen. Mamadi Doumbouya, now president

Guinea’s presidential election in December, the first since the 2021 coup, has not signified a return to civilian governance. General Mamady Doumbouya, who received 87% of the vote, has dismantled significant democratic structures, making the prospects for genuine democracy in Guinea appear unlikely. Without stronger international pressure, the country may face a prolonged period of …

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The wrangle over Biafra continues

Nnamdi Kanu, leader of an Igbo rebel militia in southeastern Nigeria, was sentenced to life in prison last November after being convicted on terrorism charges.

Nnamdi Kanu, the founder of the Indigenous People of Biafra, was sentenced to life in prison on terrorism charges last November. His movement’s advocacy for the Igbo people, a prominent ethnic group in Nigeria’s southeast, to establish an independent Biafran state initially began without violence, but escalated as the Nigerian government responded with significant force. …

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Uganda: That man, Kainerugaba 

Gen. Muhoozi Kainerugaba, son of Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni. Museveni has not talked publicly about who his successor might be, but Kainerugaba is positioning himself to take over.

Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni is in his eighties, and his son, Muhoozi Kainerugaba, is positioning himself for succession, saying he’s “tired of waiting.” As head of the military, he oversaw efforts to suppress opposition during the recent presidential campaign, boasting after the January vote that 30 “terrorists” had been killed and 2,000 “hooligans” arrested. On …

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Somaliland, Israel make a dicey move

Israel’s Foreign Minister Gideon Saar, left, visited Somaliland on January 6, after Israel became the first country to recognize the breakaway region of Somalia as an independent nation. Saar expressed Israel’s commitment to enhancing relations with Somaliland “with momentum.” Somaliland President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi, right, described the visit as a “big day.”

Much of the international community, particularly countries in Africa and the Middle East, has criticized Israel’s recognition of Somaliland, a breakaway region of Somalia, as an independent nation. Some express concerns that this decision may exacerbate instability in Somalia, which is already facing significant challenges, and argue that it contradicts global standards of respecting countries’ …

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